TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 12:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Switzerland and Jordan (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for May 31, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than July 31, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds on Limitless often differ from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker spreads. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds to balance liability, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For the Switzerland vs. Jordan card total, comparing Limitless implied probability to major sportsbook odds can reveal whether the market is pricing cards more aggressively or conservatively. These differences arise from distinct liquidity pools, risk models, and trader sophistication across venues.
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, the Switzerland vs. Jordan 4+ cards outcome is priced as a binary contract reflecting the cumulative probability traders assign to that result. The platform uses an order-book model where buyers and sellers set prices, and the current market price translates directly to implied probability. As match day approaches and new information emerges—team lineups, referee assignments, historical card patterns—prices adjust dynamically. Liquidity and trading volume on Limitless determine how quickly prices move and how tight the bid-ask spread remains.
The market resolves at Jun 1, 2026, after the Switzerland vs. Jordan fixture concludes. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during the match. If the final count reaches 4 or more cards, the affirmative outcome wins; if fewer than 4 cards are shown, the negative outcome wins. The resolution is based on official match records and card data from the governing football authority.
Several factors can shift odds before Jun 1, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—affects aggression and foul risk. Referee assignment matters significantly; some officials card more liberally than others. Historical head-to-head records and recent disciplinary trends for both squads influence trader expectations. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and tournament context (knockout vs. group stage) also play roles. Late-breaking tactical announcements or player availability updates can trigger sharp moves. As kickoff nears, odds typically tighten as uncertainty resolves and the market prices in final confirmed information.