TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 6:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Switzerland and Canada (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 24, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 24, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Switzerland and Canada (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 24, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 24, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Limitless, this event is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability that Switzerland and Canada receive 4 or more combined yellow and red cards. The platform uses an order-book model where traders buy and sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the midpoint representing implied probability. Pricing adjusts continuously based on incoming orders, team news, and historical card distributions for both nations. Liquidity and spreads may vary depending on trading volume and proximity to the Jun 25, 2026 resolution window.
The market resolves on Jun 25, 2026 following the conclusion of the Switzerland–Canada match. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued to both teams combined during regular and extra time. The outcome is binary: if the combined card count reaches 4 or higher, the YES outcome wins; if the total is 3 or fewer, the NO outcome wins. Official match records from the governing body are used to settle the contract.
Key catalysts include referee assignment announcements, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Team news such as suspensions, injuries, or tactical shifts toward aggressive play can shift expectations. Historical head-to-head card data and recent disciplinary records for both squads influence trader positioning. Match conditions—weather, pitch quality, crowd intensity—may affect play style and referee tolerance. As kickoff approaches, lineup confirmations and pre-match commentary from analysts can trigger significant repricing. Late-breaking news about player fitness or coaching changes can also move odds sharply.