TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 6:30 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Vitaliy Sachko in the Swiss Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Vitaliy Sachko. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Timofey Skatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timofey Skatov and Vitaliy Sachko in the Swiss Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timofey Skatov' if Timofey Skatov advances against Vitaliy Sachko. This market will resolve to 'Vitaliy Sachko' if Vitaliy Sachko advances against Timofey Skatov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders who have real money at stake. For this market, comparing the implied probability here to major sportsbook lines can reveal whether traders are pricing the outcome more bullishly or bearishly than bookmakers. Such gaps sometimes highlight overlooked angles or consensus blind spots worth investigating before the match begins.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader buy and sell orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price you see reflects the cumulative bets of all participants; as more traders back one outcome, the odds shift to reflect that new consensus. Liquidity and order flow directly influence how quickly prices move, so periods of high volume can trigger sharper swings than quieter trading windows.
This market resolves around Jul 19, 2026, once the Swiss Open qualification match between these two players concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official tournament records and match reporting. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell positions as new information emerges and the event draws closer.
Several factors may shift trader sentiment before resolution. Recent form and head-to-head records between the two players often drive early repricing. Injury reports, coaching changes, or public statements from either competitor can trigger sharp moves. Tournament seeding updates and draw announcements may also influence expectations. Closer to the match date, warm-up results, court conditions, and betting action from professional syndicates typically amplify volatility as the event becomes more concrete and information asymmetries narrow.