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24H VOL:

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj
polymarket
kalshi

Who will win the Cina vs Zahraj Swiss Open Qualification match?

Volume:
$43,087

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj

 - Polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 11, 2026

Closed: Jul 18, 7:30 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30,526
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Federico Cina

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,888
N/A
N/A
$6,840
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,722
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set Handicap +/-1.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 O/U 8.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 O/U 9.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 1 O/U 10.5

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 Winner

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Patrick Zahraj

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,006
N/A
N/A
$1,004
Settled
No
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Match O/U 21.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Match O/U 22.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Match O/U 23.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$262
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Total Sets: O/U 2.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 9.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set Handicap +/-1.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Swiss Open, Qualification: Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 10.5

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 18

Description

This event group covers a professional tennis match between Federico Cina and Patrick Zahraj in the 2026 ATP Gstaad Swiss Open Qualification Round 1, scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET. Markets track both the match outcome (who advances) and whether the match is completed under normal play rules.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's Set 2 market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, rendering it unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound but measure different events (match advancement vs match completion).Hero tip: Kalshi market is unresolvable as written - both Cina Set 2 win and Zahraj Set 2 win cannot both resolve Yes. Request immediate clarification from Kalshi on intended resolution logic. Polymarket markets are safe to trade; they are consistent and address distinct settlement targets.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Set 2 Completion Market - Resolves to Yes if either Federico Cina OR Patrick Zahraj wins Set 2. Logical flaw: both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making the market non-binary and unresolvable. Quote: 'If Federico Cina wins set 2... then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Zahraj wins set 2... then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Two distinct markets: (1) Match Advancement - resolves to Federico Cina or Patrick Zahraj based on who advances; (2) Match Completion - resolves to Yes only if all sets/games are played to completion under normal play, No for walkovers, retirements, cancellations, or delays beyond 7 days. Quote: 'This market will resolve to the player who advances' and 'This market will resolve to Yes if all games and sets required to determine a match winner... are played to completion through normal play.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Federico Cina and Patrick Zahraj in the Swiss Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 11, 2026 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Federico Cina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins set 2 in the Federico Cina vs Patrick Zahraj match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are settled at Fair Market Price at the Exchange's discretion.

Frequently asked questions

The Cina vs Zahraj Swiss Open qualifier aggregates prediction market pricing across Polymarket and Kalshi, letting traders monitor real-time consensus on the match outcome. This market captures how both venues price the qualification result, offering a cross-platform view of where traders expect the match to land. By tracking both platforms together, you can spot pricing divergence and identify which venue is leading on conviction. The dashboard surfaces the top outcomes on each platform alongside their current odds, helping you understand where the broader prediction market stands as the event approaches.

Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market reflects what traders believe will happen, not what a bookmaker needs to charge to stay neutral. Prediction market odds often move faster and can diverge from sportsbook lines during high-conviction trading. For this qualifier, comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where public opinion and professional oddsmakers diverge most sharply.

Polymarket and Kalshi may price this qualifier differently due to variations in trader composition, liquidity depth, and market microstructure. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases with distinct risk tolerances and information sets, so pricing can lag or lead depending on which venue sees fresh order flow first. Liquidity imbalances also matter: a platform with deeper order books may show tighter spreads and faster price discovery. Additionally, platform-specific rules around trading hours or settlement timing can create temporary arbitrage windows. Monitoring both venues helps you spot when one is pricing the match more efficiently than the other.