TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 20, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominic Stephan Stricker and Jaume Munar in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominic Stephan Stricker' if Dominic Stephan Stricker advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Dominic Stephan Stricker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dominic Stephan Stricker and Jaume Munar in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 13, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dominic Stephan Stricker' if Dominic Stephan Stricker advances against Jaume Munar. This market will resolve to 'Jaume Munar' if Jaume Munar advances against Dominic Stephan Stricker. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sports betting sites, particularly if one venue has sharper information flow or higher participation in tennis markets. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where outlier views exist.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker and order-book mechanisms that allow traders to buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief of all participants; as new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, and the price updates in real time. Liquidity and trading volume influence how easily you can enter or exit a position at the displayed price.
This market resolves around Jul 20, 2026, once the Swiss Open match between the two players concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official match result—who wins the contest. Until that point, traders can adjust positions as the event approaches and new developments emerge.
Several factors can shift odds before the match takes place. Player injury announcements, recent tournament performance, head-to-head history, and court-surface suitability all influence trader expectations. Weather conditions on match day, last-minute lineup changes, or news about player form in the days leading up to the event can trigger sharp price moves. Additionally, if one player gains momentum through earlier rounds or if betting syndicates adjust their positions, this market may see significant volatility as resolution approaches.