TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 23, 4:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Dominic Stephan Stricker in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Shevchenko' if Alexander Shevchenko advances against Dominic Stephan Stricker. This market will resolve to 'Dominic Stephan Stricker' if Dominic Stephan Stricker advances against Alexander Shevchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Shevchenko and Dominic Stephan Stricker in the Swiss Open, originally scheduled for July 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Shevchenko' if Alexander Shevchenko advances against Dominic Stephan Stricker. This market will resolve to 'Dominic Stephan Stricker' if Dominic Stephan Stricker advances against Alexander Shevchenko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets let traders freely price outcomes based on their beliefs. This market aggregates the collective judgment of many participants rather than relying on a single oddsmaker's model. Over time, prediction markets have proven competitive with or more accurate than traditional sportsbooks for major sporting events, though real-time differences can persist depending on trading volume and information flow.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader orders into real-time probabilities. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares for each outcome trade continuously, and the current price of a share reflects the market's live estimate of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders buy or sell, the price adjusts automatically. This mechanism ensures transparent, friction-free pricing and allows you to enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes.
This market resolves around Jul 23, 2026, once the Swiss Open match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the official winner of the Shevchenko vs Stricker contest. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information—such as player performance, injuries, or match updates—becomes available. Resolution is final once confirmed.
Several factors could shift trader sentiment and prices in this market. Recent tournament results, player rankings, and head-to-head records are key inputs. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Court conditions, weather, and draw position at the Swiss Open can also influence expectations. Media coverage and expert commentary may sway perception, while live match momentum during the event itself will drive final price movements. Any credible update on either player's form or fitness could prompt rapid trading activity.