TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Sweetener streams up this week?
kalshi

Sweetener streams up this week?

Volume:
$0

Target Streams: 20,100,200

 - Kalshi

Target Streams: 20,100,200 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 4:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Target Streams: 20,100,200

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Ariana Grande's Sweetener will accumulate more than 20,100,200 streams on Luminate during the May 22–28 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate worldwide streaming data for that specific week, with settlement expected by June 1, 2026. Watch the final streaming counts as they are reported for the May 22–28 tracking period to see whether the song crosses the 20.1 million threshold.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Sweetener market is priced as a binary contract: Will Sweetener by Ariana Grande achieve above 20,100,200 streams on Luminate from May 22–28? On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect trader expectations about whether the track will cross that threshold during the specified week. Price moves as new information emerges—such as playlist placements, chart performance, or fan engagement signals—allowing traders to enter or exit positions. The contract settles based on final Luminate stream counts for that exact date range.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate stream data for Sweetener during the May 22–28 window. The outcome hinges on whether the track accumulates above or below 20,100,200 total streams across that seven-day period. Luminate, which aggregates streams from major platforms, provides the authoritative count used to settle the contract. Traders should monitor streaming activity throughout the week and any factors that could influence playlist rotation or listener engagement.

Several catalysts could shift odds before Jun 1, 2026. Major playlist adds on Spotify, Apple Music, or other DSPs would likely boost streaming velocity. Chart debuts or high chart positions could signal strong listener interest. Ariana Grande social media activity, interviews, or performance announcements might drive engagement. Competing releases or broader music industry trends could redirect listener attention. Real-time streaming data leaks or industry reports about Sweetener's performance would also move the market. Traders watch these signals closely to adjust positions as new information emerges.