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Sweden vs Romania: Spread
kalshi

Sweden vs Romania: Spread

Volume:
$80,816

Sweden wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Sweden wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 4:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sweden wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$44,381
N/A
N/A
$23,967
Settled
No
kalshi

Sweden wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$27,400
N/A
N/A
$16,992
Settled
No
kalshi

Romania wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,491
N/A
N/A
$4,848
Settled
No
kalshi

Sweden wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,575
N/A
N/A
$2,573
Settled
No
kalshi

Romania wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$968
N/A
N/A
$968
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Sweden and Romania, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a specific goal differential threshold. The result is determined solely by regular time scoring, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Sweden vs Romania UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, based on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Four distinct markets are considered, each corresponding to a specific margin of victory for either Sweden or Romania. If Sweden wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Sweden wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Romania wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Romania wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Only one of these markets can resolve to Yes, as each represents a mutually exclusive scenario based on the match’s final score. All markets are independent of official league affiliations, and trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect information and perspectives different from those factored into traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks typically set initial odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced the probability of a particular outcome in the Sweden vs Romania match, the prediction market odds will likely diverge. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbooks, especially when accounting for factors not easily quantifiable.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes in the Sweden vs Romania match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders buy contracts for a specific outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly prices adjust to new information or shifts in sentiment. The goal is to express a probabilistic view of the final result.

This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread in the Sweden vs Romania match as reported by official sources. Traders will have until the resolution time to adjust their positions based on any new information that becomes available. The final price of the contracts at resolution will determine which traders profit or incur losses based on their initial predictions.

Several signals could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Sweden or Romania team would likely impact trading activity. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about player availability, or even significant shifts in public opinion regarding the likely outcome of the Sweden vs Romania match, could all lead to price fluctuations in this market.