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406,065

Markets across

30,522

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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Sweden vs. Romania
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Sweden vs. Romania?

Volume:
$1,618,953

Sweden

all

3 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 6:46 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sweden

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$671,007
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sweden

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$370,432
N/A
N/A
$252,877
Settled
Yes
predict

SWE

View
99%
32%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$15,802
$75,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ROM

View
1%
13%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$178
$11,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Romania

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$188,104
N/A
N/A
$112,012
Settled
No
polymarket

Romania

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$156,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
19%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$155
$5,902
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$78,791
N/A
N/A
$57,339
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sweden vs. Romania)

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Sweden and Romania on September 25, 2026, specifically forecasting whether Sweden will win within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Currently, the consensus probability of Sweden winning is 100.0%, as aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official UEFA statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 25, 2026, to see if this forecast holds true as the game progresses.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, defining the outcome as the result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time and outlining similar fallback procedures for data availability.Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official result of the match as recognized by UEFA.
  • The match result is determined within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If the match is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' (Polymarket/Predict) or 'Tie' (Kalshi), and draw markets resolve to 'Yes' (Polymarket/Predict) or 'Tie' (Kalshi).

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are not available within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, data from Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
  • Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, win markets resolve to 'No' on Polymarket/Predict, and 'Tie' on Kalshi. Draw markets resolve to 'Yes' on Polymarket/Predict, and 'Tie' on Kalshi.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official or fallback data becomes available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Sweden and Romania.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Sweden vs Romania UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 25, 2026, determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Sweden or Romania occurs only if that respective team wins the match in regular time. If the match concludes with an equal score, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will settle at a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. The markets exclusively consider results from regular time and do not account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Friday, September 25, 2026 between Sweden and Romania.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Sweden vs. Romania match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $1,618,953, with $1,538,756 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of probabilities, though differing market dynamics can lead to price discrepancies. The dashboard tracks the implied probability of various outcomes, providing a comprehensive overview of where the crowd believes the match is headed. It’s a valuable tool for anyone interested in forecasting the result of this sporting event.

Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while prediction markets are driven by individuals betting directly against each other. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as the crowd effectively pools knowledge. However, sportsbook odds are often more readily available and may offer different types of bets. It’s useful to compare both to get a well-rounded view before making a decision on this market.