TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the total goals scored in the Sweden vs. Poland UEFA Nations League match will be over or under 2.5. Currently, the “Over 2.5” outcome is trading at 100.0% on Polymarket, with resolution based on official results reported at https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/. Keep a close watch on the kickoff of the match itself on September 28 at 2:45 PM ET, as the goals scored during the game will directly determine the market’s outcome.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 28 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks to incorporate new information, offering a potentially more dynamic assessment of the Sweden vs. Poland match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of a particular outcome. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective forecast. This creates a dynamic pricing system that aims to accurately represent the perceived likelihood of each outcome in the Sweden vs. Poland match, based on the insights of those trading on the platform.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sweden vs. Poland match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators could also play a role. Major upsets in other related matches or broader shifts in public opinion regarding team performance could also impact trading activity. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves as the Sweden vs. Poland match approaches.