TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 8:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if Sweden wins by 2 or more goals against France during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if Sweden wins by 2 or more goals against France during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 30, 2026, 21:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 30, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and participant bases. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders seeking to profit on accurate forecasts. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information and adjust faster to breaking news, whereas sportsbooks may move more cautiously to avoid sharp action. For this matchup, comparing the prediction market price to major sportsbook spreads can reveal whether traders see Sweden's two-goal victory as more or less likely than oddsmakers do.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order-book model where traders submit buy and sell orders that determine the odds in real time. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective belief of all active traders about the probability of Sweden winning by two or more goals. As new information emerges—team news, injury reports, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, causing the odds to shift. Liquidity and order depth on the book influence how quickly prices move and how much slippage you might experience when entering or exiting a position.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, once the Sweden versus France match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the official goal margin recorded at the end of regulation time. If Sweden wins by exactly two goals or more, the affirmative side resolves to yes; any other result (including a Sweden win by one goal, a draw, or a France victory) resolves to no. Resolution is verified against credible public sources reporting the final match score.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the match kicks off. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts or betting syndicates can also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates may prompt traders to reassess Sweden's attacking strength and France's defensive vulnerabilities. As the match approaches, any official confirmations about starting lineups or late-breaking developments will likely drive volume and volatility in this market.