TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 3:23 PM EST
Kalshi
A player from one national team will score a goal during the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup.
Goals are counted during regulation time, stoppage time, and extra time, but not during penalty shootouts. If a player does not appear in any match during the tournament, their market resolves to No. Players must participate in at least one game for their market to have a chance of resolving Yes based on goal-scoring performance.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect crowd-sourced trader sentiment rather than bookmaker models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance liability and lock in margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on collective belief among participants. For Sweden: Goalscorers, prediction market odds may lead or lag sportsbook prices depending on information flow, trader conviction, and liquidity. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more or less bullish on specific Swedish goalscorers than professional oddsmakers, offering insight into market consensus versus institutional pricing.
Sweden: Goalscorers contracts on Kalshi are priced as binary outcomes reflecting the probability that specific Swedish players will score in their upcoming matches. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices range from $0 to $1, with the contract value at settlement determined by whether the goalscorer event occurs. Traders buy contracts they believe are underpriced and sell those they view as overpriced, with the market price converging toward true probability as resolution approaches. Volume and bid-ask spreads on Kalshi indicate liquidity and trader confidence in each goalscorer outcome.
The Sweden: Goalscorers market resolves on Jul 20, 2026. Resolution is determined by official match records and goal-scoring data from Sweden's scheduled fixtures. Each contract settles based on whether the specified player scored during the designated match or tournament window. Traders should monitor official team announcements, injury reports, and lineup confirmations leading up to the end date, as these factors directly influence which players participate and their opportunity to score.
Key catalysts for Sweden: Goalscorers price movement include player injuries or fitness updates, lineup announcements and starting XI confirmation, opponent strength and defensive capability, recent form and goal-scoring streaks, and tactical changes by the Swedish coaching staff. Transfer news or suspension announcements can also shift odds significantly. As match day approaches, weather conditions, venue factors, and team news flow will influence trader positioning. Major international tournaments or qualifying rounds may see heightened volatility as new information about squad selection and player availability emerges.