TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Swansea and Wrexham, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by specific goal differences. The result is determined solely by the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple potential outcomes of the Swansea vs Wrexham professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026. Resolution depends on the goal differential by which either team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' resolution: Swansea winning by more than 2.5 goals, Swansea winning by more than 1.5 goals, Wrexham winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Wrexham winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any outcome where neither team meets these differential thresholds results in a 'No' resolution for all markets. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, particularly when there’s significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome of the Swansea vs Wrexham match. These differences can present opportunities for arbitrage or informed betting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Swansea vs Wrexham match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive pricing system.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Swansea vs Wrexham match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports authority. The final spread will be determined by the difference in scores between the two teams at the end of regulation time. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Swansea or Wrexham would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a recent match, could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could all contribute to movement in the market. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the Swansea vs Wrexham match can also play a role.