TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 12:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of Swansea and Birmingham in an upcoming EFL Cup soccer match, focusing on the margin of victory during regulation time. It evaluates different thresholds for wins by either team, specifically how many goals they win by during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates various goal-differential thresholds for determining a 'Yes' outcome in the Swansea vs Birmingham EFL Cup match scheduled for August 8, 2026. All resolutions are based solely on regulation time—defined as the 90-minute match duration plus any stoppage time, with explicit exclusion of extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct primary rules define specific win-margin conditions: Swansea winning by more than 2.5 goals, Swansea winning by more than 1.5 goals, Birmingham winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Birmingham winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each rule operates independently, meaning any one of these conditions being met will resolve the relevant market to 'Yes.' The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets—Kalshi—is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners. No market resolutions consider outcomes beyond regulation time.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in regulation time will determine which side of the market is correct, based on official match results and confirmed goal differentials from trusted sports news and league sources.
Injuries to key players, tactical announcements from coaches, or recent form in preceding matches could all shift this market. Weather conditions on the day of the match, disciplinary actions such as suspensions, and even early goal momentum during the game can cause rapid adjustments in trader sentiment and odds as the event draws closer.