TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 12:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Swansea and Birmingham, specifically determining the winner within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. It provides a straightforward way to bet on which team will claim victory during regular play. The resolution depends solely on the match result as it stands after the allocated regular time.
The market resolves based on the result of the Swansea vs Birmingham professional EFL Cup soccer game originally scheduled for August 8, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Swansea wins during regulation time, the 'Swansea' market resolves to Yes. If Birmingham wins during regulation time, the 'Birmingham' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the outcome within regulation time, with no account for results determined during extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may incorporate additional factors or adjust for their own risk models, traders on Kalshi set prices based purely on their expectations of the match outcome, which can lead to notable differences in implied probabilities.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result after 90 minutes of regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalties, and will reflect whether Swansea, Birmingham, or neither team wins during that period.
Injuries, weather updates, or tactical changes may shift trader sentiment and move this market. Key moments like pre-match announcements, recent form, or head-to-head statistics can also influence odds. As the match approaches, any last-minute news about player availability or coaching decisions typically creates volatility, causing rapid price adjustments on Kalshi based on updated expectations.