TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 9:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the Swansea City AFC vs. Wrexham AFC soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, focusing on the outcomes of win conditions and draw conditions within regular play plus stoppage time.
This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Swansea City AFC and Wrexham AFC.
The event resolves based on the result of the Derby vs Swansea professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A market resolves to Yes if the associated team wins the match within this timeframe; a separate market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution exclusively considers the standard match result, with no account for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader activity, often showing sharper or more volatile odds than traditional sportsbooks. Prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced forecasts and can react faster to new information, such as player injuries or weather updates. Sportsbook odds incorporate broader public betting patterns and professional handicapping, typically offering less aggressive pricing but greater liquidity for large bets. Comparing both gives a fuller picture of expected outcomes and market sentiment around the match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trading, while Kalshi may apply different liquidity models or user bases. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This can create temporary mispricings as each venue processes new information at its own pace. Factors such as differing trader sentiment, regional interest, or even technical delays in updating odds can all contribute to gaps between the two platforms. Over time, as more data flows in and trading volumes rise, the prices across Polymarket and Kalshi often converge, reflecting a more unified view of the Swansea vs. Wrexham match-up market.