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Swansea City AFC vs. Burnley FC - First Team to Score
kalshi
polymarket

Swansea City AFC vs. Burnley FC - First Team to Score

Volume:
$68,865

Over 1.5 goals scored

 - Kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 5:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,750
N/A
N/A
$3,005
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,654
N/A
N/A
$2,584
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,068
N/A
N/A
$19,012
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,071
N/A
N/A
$7,838
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,619
N/A
N/A
$5,718
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
$937
Settled
No
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$305
N/A
N/A
$305
Settled
No
polymarket

Swansea City AFC

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Burnley FC

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 10

Description

This event group concerns the upcoming match between Swansea City AFC and Burnley FC, focusing on which team will score the first goal within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental market type divergence - Polymarket tracks first goal scorer while Kalshi tracks total goals thresholdsHero tip: Do not treat these as correlated markets. Polymarket requires tracking which team scores first within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Kalshi markets resolve purely on total goals scored regardless of scoring order.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three-way market resolving to Swansea if they score first, Burnley if they score first, or Neither if no goals in 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Uses official match statistics with Flashscore/Sofascore fallbacks.
  • Kalshi: Series of over/under total goals markets (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, etc.) resolving solely on total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, regardless of which team scores first.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between Swansea City AFC and Burnley FC, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Swansea City AFC" if Swansea City AFC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Burnley FC" if Burnley FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored in the Swansea vs Watford professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for September 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different threshold of goals (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). For any given market, if the total goals scored exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria based on the respective goal threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Swansea vs Burnley first goal market aggregates real-time data from multiple venues, showing how traders across platforms price the likelihood of each team scoring first. It displays current probabilities, volume of $68,865, and 24-hour volume of $68,695, giving you a consensus view of market sentiment as the match approaches.