TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the professional tennis quarterfinal match between Elina Svitolina and Alexandra Eala at the 2026 Berlin tournament. On Kalshi, Alexandra Eala is favored to win at 68.0%, while Elina Svitolina holds a 35.0% probability of victory. The market resolves based on the official result once play begins and a ball is struck in competition. Watch for the match on June 19, 2026, when the quarterfinal contest is scheduled to take place.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Svitolina vs Eala professional tennis match in the 2026 Berlin Quarterfinal, contingent upon a ball being played. Resolution requires that the match actually occurs and is completed; if the match does not take place before it starts due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market will resolve to a fair price per standard rules. Should the match be postponed or delayed, the market remains open and will close following the rescheduled match completion, provided the rescheduled date falls within two weeks of the original date.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price events differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on trader consensus to discover prices. This market reflects what thousands of informed participants believe will happen, often incorporating real-time information faster than traditional oddsmakers update their lines. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook prices can reveal gaps in how different venues value the match outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks that determine the contract value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the most recent trades and standing orders, updating in real time as new information emerges or trader conviction shifts. Prices range from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of Svitolina winning the quarterfinal. Tighter spreads between bid and ask indicate higher liquidity and more confident pricing.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, once the quarterfinal match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by whether Svitolina defeats Eala in their scheduled encounter. Traders holding positions will see their contracts settle to either 100 or 0 based on the final match result. Early resolution is possible if the match is cancelled or forfeited under tournament rules.
Several factors may shift odds before the match takes place. Recent player form, head-to-head records, and injury updates can significantly influence trader positioning. Court surface preference, weather conditions on match day, and tournament momentum all play a role in how bettors reassess the probabilities. News about either player's fitness, mental state, or recent performances will likely trigger repricing. As the match date approaches, late-breaking developments and pre-match commentary often drive final adjustments to the market price.