TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between SV Werder Bremen and FC Bayern München scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Bremen win, a Bayern win, or a draw, all resolved based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and recognize the same three mutually exclusive outcomes, with only minor differences in cancellation handling that do not affect the core match result logic.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records and final scoreline after 90 minutes plus stoppage timeCore resolution logic:
- Match result is determined by the official score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: SV Werder Bremen win, FC Bayern München win, or draw
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves draw market to Yes and win markets to No; Kalshi treats as pending rescheduling
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed. Resolution then occurs based on the final result of the completed match.
- Match Cancellation Without Makeup: Polymarket: draw market resolves Yes, Bremen win resolves No, Bayern win resolves No. Kalshi: structure implies markets remain open pending rescheduling, but cancellation without makeup is treated as an edge case requiring manual adjudication.
- Scope Boundary: Resolution is strictly limited to the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Any result determined in extra time or via penalty shootout is outside the resolution scope and does not apply.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 14, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed)Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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