TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SV Werder Bremen vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05
Volume:
$696,049
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Bundesliga match between SV Werder Bremen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 scheduled for March 15, 2026. Three markets track the outcome: whether the match ends in a draw, whether Mainz wins, and whether Bremen wins. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market structure presents logical redundancy where all three outcome markets would resolve Yes simultaneously, contradicting standard three-way betting logic. Polymarket uses standard mutually exclusive binary markets with consistent cancellation handling.Hero Tip:
Polymarket markets are resolvable and logically sound. Kalshi's market presentation requires clarification before trading - the simultaneous Yes resolution across all three outcome markets is inconsistent with how three-way soccer betting should function. Request Kalshi documentation to confirm whether these are three separate markets or a single combined market.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three mutually exclusive binary markets covering draw, Mainz win, and Bremen win. Cancellation with no makeup resolves draw market to Yes and Mainz/Bremen markets to No. Primary source is official Bundesliga statistics within 2 hours, with credible reporting consensus as fallback.
- Kalshi: Three markets each resolving to Yes for different outcomes (Tie, Bremen, Mainz), but market structure implies all three would resolve Yes simultaneously if any outcome occurs, creating logical contradiction. No explicit cancellation handling provided.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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