TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group tracks the halftime result of the SV Wehen Wiesbaden vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen soccer match. The markets focus on whether SV Wehen Wiesbaden leads at halftime, Bayer 04 Leverkusen leads at halftime, or if the game is tied at halftime.
In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between SV Wehen Wiesbaden and Bayer 04 Leverkusen, scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
The market resolves based on which team advances from the Wiesbaden vs Leverkusen DFB Pokal Round 1 soccer tie. If Wiesbaden progresses past Leverkusen, the 'Wiesbaden advances' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Leverkusen progresses past Wiesbaden, the 'Leverkusen advances' market resolves to Yes. The resolution depends solely on advancement, not on the specific match result or scoreline. Any references to FIFA or the FIFA World Cup are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation.
Prediction market odds often reflect sharper, more nuanced probabilities because they incorporate diverse trader insights and real-time data flows. In contrast, traditional sportsbook odds are set by professional oddsmakers who may factor in broader public betting patterns. For this market, prediction platforms can show tighter spreads and faster adjustments to breaking news, while sportsbooks might lag or apply different risk models.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user bases, liquidity depth, and trading mechanics. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform’s unique pool of participants may have distinct views on the match dynamics, leading to divergent implied probabilities. Additionally, trading volume and order-book design can amplify or dampen price swings, especially for niche events like this market.
Injuries, weather updates, or strategic changes announced by coaches can shift expectations for halftime momentum and directly impact this market. Key moments such as early goals, yellow cards, or tactical adjustments may also cause rapid reassessments among traders. Any surprise lineup changes or crowd disruptions could also create volatility, moving probabilities sharply as the match approaches.