TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 2:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group concerns the upcoming soccer match between SV Waldhof Mannheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern, focusing on which team will score first within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between SV Waldhof Mannheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern, scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Waldhof Mannheim" if SV Waldhof Mannheim are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "1. FC Kaiserslautern" if 1. FC Kaiserslautern are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event determines the winner of a professional DFB Pokal soccer match between Mannheim and Kaiserslautern scheduled for August 21, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If Mannheim wins in regulation time, the 'Mannheim' market resolves to Yes. If Kaiserslautern wins in regulation time, the 'Kaiserslautern' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets are independent of any official affiliations with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can diverge because of differences in user base, trading volume, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more European football fans, skewing its probabilities, while the other could see heavier participation from global traders. Additionally, varying liquidity levels—$30,237 versus $30,237 over 24 hours—can amplify price swings. These factors mean that each venue can temporarily reflect distinct outlooks on who will score first, creating opportunities for arbitrage or insight into regional sentiment.