TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 6:46 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SV Tillmitsch and SKN St. Pölten, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Tillmitsch" if SV Tillmitsch are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SKN St. Pölten" if SKN St. Pölten are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SV Tillmitsch and SKN St. Pölten, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Tillmitsch" if SV Tillmitsch are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SKN St. Pölten" if SKN St. Pölten are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On Polymarket, odds update continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Sportsbooks, by contrast, set odds with built-in profit margins and may move them more slowly. For this match, comparing prediction market prices to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus differs, though prediction markets tend to be more responsive to breaking news and live developments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by all traders; as more capital flows into one outcome, its price rises and others fall. Traders profit by correctly predicting which team scores first, with payouts determined by the final price at resolution. This continuous pricing model ensures liquidity and allows positions to be entered or exited at any time before the match concludes.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the match between SV Tillmitsch and SKN St. Pölten concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team legitimately scores the opening goal, confirmed through credible public reporting of the match result. Early or own goals are typically counted as scored by the team credited in official match records. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout once the result is finalized and the market settles.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star strikers, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that affect attacking prowess. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage can all shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions on match day, referee assignments, and pre-match press conferences may also influence positioning. As kickoff nears, any breaking developments—such as a key player being ruled out—typically trigger sharp repricing. Live updates during the opening minutes of play can cause rapid swings as traders react to early possession and attacking patterns.