TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SV Seekirchen and SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Seekirchen" if SV Seekirchen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" if SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SV Seekirchen and SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Seekirchen" if SV Seekirchen are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz" if SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven by trader consensus and real-money incentives. On Polymarket, odds adjust dynamically based on actual trading volume and participant conviction, sometimes offering sharper or earlier signals than fixed sportsbook lines. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal value opportunities, though both reflect genuine uncertainty about which team scores first.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that team scoring first, with prices ranging from near zero to near one. As traders place orders, the price adjusts automatically to balance supply and demand. Higher trading volume typically narrows spreads and improves price accuracy, making the odds a reliable gauge of market-wide expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. Whichever team records the opening goal determines the winning outcome, and traders holding the correct share receive their payout. If no goal is scored before the final whistle, the market may resolve to a no-goal outcome depending on the platform's rules.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes that affect attacking depth or defensive stability. Pre-match analysis, recent form, and head-to-head records can shift trader conviction about which side is more likely to strike first. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments may also influence early-game dynamics. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking updates and sharp trader positioning often drive noticeable price swings. Live match events like early chances or tactical adjustments will continue moving odds until the first goal is scored.