TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 5:12 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz and USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz" if SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth" if USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz and USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth, scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz" if SV Licht-Loidl Lafnitz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth" if USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and capital allocation. In this market, the crowd's assessment of which team scores first may differ from a bookmaker's line due to sharper information, real-time updates, or different risk appetites among participants. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus breaks down and highlight potential value opportunities for informed bettors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the aggregate belief of all traders; as more capital flows toward one team, its odds rise and the competing outcome's odds fall. Prices update in real time based on order flow, ensuring the market continuously reprices to reflect new information. This mechanism encourages participation from traders with different views and time horizons.
This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in the match. Resolution is confirmed once the event result is verifiable from credible public reporting and official match records. Until that point, prices will fluctuate as traders adjust their positions based on team form, tactical changes, and any other factors they believe influence the likelihood of each outcome.
Several catalysts could shift prices in this market before kickoff. Team news—such as injuries to key attacking players, suspensions, or surprise lineup announcements—often triggers sharp repricing. Tactical adjustments or managerial changes can alter perceived offensive strength. Weather conditions on match day may favor one team's style of play. Recent form, head-to-head history, and betting market activity at traditional sportsbooks can also influence trader positioning. As the match approaches, late-breaking developments and social media sentiment may accelerate price movement in either direction.