TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 3:52 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SV Klöcher Bau Oberwart and FC Red Bull Salzburg, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Klöcher Bau Oberwart" if SV Klöcher Bau Oberwart are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Red Bull Salzburg" if FC Red Bull Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SV Klöcher Bau Oberwart and FC Red Bull Salzburg, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SV Klöcher Bau Oberwart" if SV Klöcher Bau Oberwart are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Red Bull Salzburg" if FC Red Bull Salzburg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. For this market, prediction market participants may price in factors—team form, injury reports, tactical adjustments—faster than sportsbooks adjust their lines. Comparing the two can reveal where one venue undervalues or overvalues a particular outcome, though both should converge as match time nears and new information emerges.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker or order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. As new information surfaces—team news, betting patterns, or expert commentary—traders adjust their positions, moving prices in real time. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and confidence; tighter spreads suggest high participation and consensus, while wider spreads may signal uncertainty or lower trading interest.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on identifying which team scores the opening goal of the match. Once the event is confirmed through reliable sources, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Early resolution is possible if one team scores before the other, ending all uncertainty about the outcome.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before kickoff. Team news—injuries to key forwards, tactical lineup changes, or suspension announcements—often triggers sharp price moves. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage assessments influence trader positioning. Betting syndicate activity and sharp money flowing into one side can signal informed conviction. Weather conditions, pitch quality, and referee assignments may also factor into scoring expectations. As match time approaches, late-breaking roster updates or coaching decisions frequently drive final repricing.