TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of over 2.5 goals being scored in the second half of the SV 07 Elversberg versus FC Bayern München Bundesliga match. Currently, the consensus probability of this outcome is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Predict, with resolution based on official statistics from bundesliga.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the final score published on bundesliga.com within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time will determine the outcome, with resolution expected by 2026-09-13.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 13 at 11:30 AM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 13 at 11:30 AM ET.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This means prediction markets can sometimes offer more accurate probabilities, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. The current volume of $916,791 suggests a level of interest that could lead to price discovery distinct from traditional betting venues. It’s important to compare both to gain a well-rounded perspective.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-specific factors. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights, leading to different price assessments for the Elversberg vs. Bayern match. Furthermore, the liquidity and volume on each platform—currently $916,791—can influence price stability and responsiveness to new information. These factors contribute to the observed differences in probabilities, offering traders opportunities for arbitrage and informed speculation.