TOTAL VOLUME:

$54.4b

24H VOL:

$234,875,025

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,205,330,693

501,301

Markets across

13,585

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

1,825

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

51%

VS.

Kalshi:

49%

BETA
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polymarket
kalshi
Trending

SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg

Volume:
$150,935
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
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Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 (German second division) soccer match between SV 07 Elversberg and 1. FC Magdeburg scheduled for March 6, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, including win/loss outcomes for each team and draw scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve on the same match outcome (90 minutes plus stoppage time) using identical official sources, with aligned handling of postponements and cancellations.

Primary resolution logic:

Official Bundesliga.com statistics and German soccer governing body (DFB) records; credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded.
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: SV 07 Elversberg win, 1. FC Magdeburg win, or draw.
  • Polymarket Elversberg win market resolves Yes if Elversberg wins, No otherwise.
  • Polymarket Magdeburg win market resolves Yes if Magdeburg wins, No otherwise.
  • Polymarket draw market resolves Yes if match ends in a draw, No otherwise.
  • Kalshi market resolves Yes for whichever outcome occurs (Elversberg win, Magdeburg win, or draw).
  • If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
  • If match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi awaits actual match completion or official cancellation confirmation.

Edge cases & Clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed.
  • Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves both team win markets to No and the draw market to Yes. Kalshi would treat this as a non-event pending clarification, but the draw outcome is the closest logical resolution.
  • Official Statistics Delay: If Bundesliga does not publish official final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources (major sports news outlets, official team announcements) may be used for resolution.
  • Scope Clarity: Resolution is based strictly on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any match that goes to extra time or penalties uses only the 90+stoppage result, not the final outcome after extra time or penalties.

Timing:

Resolution occurs within 2 hours after the match concludes on March 6, 2026, or immediately upon official Bundesliga publication of final statistics, whichever is sooner. If official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used for immediate resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.