TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:16 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Suzhou Dongwu and Foshan Nanshi FC in China's League 1. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi FC professional China League 1 soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the named team wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a margin for themselves, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. If prediction market odds significantly diverge from sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or that new information hasn't yet been fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s a useful comparison for informed forecasting.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi FC match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause the market to move. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create short-term price fluctuations, reflecting a change in conviction among participants.