TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:40 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional cricket match between Sussex and Nottinghamshire, focusing on which team secures an official victory. The match is part of the County Championship, a prestigious domestic competition in England. Outcomes include a win for either team, or various forms of no-result scenarios such as draws, cancellations, or insufficient play.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Sussex vs Nottinghamshire men’s professional County Championship cricket match scheduled for September 15, 2026. If either Sussex or Nottinghamshire is declared the official winner by the governing body, the corresponding market will resolve to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. In cases of forfeit, disqualification, or concession, if the governing body declares an official winner after play has begun, the market resolves accordingly; otherwise, markets resolve to $0.50. The event explicitly states that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to attract action on both sides, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise from differing levels of information or analytical approaches between prediction market traders and sportsbook oddsmakers. It's common to see this market adjust more dynamically to new information than traditional sportsbook lines, offering a potentially more accurate forecast.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, or the number of contracts available at different price points, indicates the level of confidence traders have in each outcome. This dynamic pricing allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the Sussex vs Nottinghamshire match.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sussex vs Nottinghamshire match as reported by recognized sports authorities. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in the market, and any outstanding contracts will be settled accordingly. The platform will verify the result against publicly available information to ensure accuracy and transparency.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or weather conditions impacting the match could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, could also play a role. Major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or media coverage, could also affect trading activity and, consequently, the market’s price. These signals will be reflected in the volume and price fluctuations on Kalshi.