TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 11:10 AM EST
Kalshi
This event involves predicting the outcome of a professional cricket match between Surrey and Glamorgan scheduled for September 15, 2026. The market will resolve based on which team is officially declared the winner of the match.
The event resolves based on the official winner of the Surrey vs Glamorgan men's professional County Championship cricket match scheduled for September 15, 2026. If Surrey wins, the Surrey market resolves to Yes; if Glamorgan wins, the Glamorgan market resolves to Yes. In cases of a tie, draw, no result, abandonment, cancellation, or insufficient play to determine a winner, all markets resolve to $0.50. If a forfeit, disqualification, or concession occurs before the match begins, all markets resolve to $0.50. If it occurs after the match begins and the governing body declares an official winner, the market will resolve based on that result.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, and risk assessments. If you find a significant difference between the odds on Kalshi and those at a sportsbook, it might signal an opportunity, or simply a divergence in how each is evaluating the probabilities surrounding the Surrey vs Glamorgan match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe a particular outcome is likely, they will bid up the price of the corresponding contract, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly accurate forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Surrey vs Glamorgan match, as declared by the governing sporting body. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their purchased contracts align with the actual result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the final outcome of the match.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, weather forecasts affecting playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from respected cricket commentators could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in earlier matches leading up to the Surrey vs Glamorgan match could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the match's outcome is crucial for informed trading decisions on Kalshi.