TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 9:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Suriname and Martinique, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Suriname" if Suriname are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Martinique" if Martinique are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Suriname and Martinique, scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Suriname" if Suriname are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Martinique" if Martinique are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likelihood of each team scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether Suriname or Martinique will score first. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand from traders on the platform, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the Suriname vs. Martinique match. Official match reports and recognized sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and transparency, finalizing the market and distributing payouts to winning traders.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team lineups, player injuries, or changes in coaching strategies could impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or field conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, shifts in public sentiment, fueled by pre-match analysis or social media discussions, could drive trading volume and price fluctuations. Major events affecting team morale or performance leading up to the match are also likely to move this market.