TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
Suriname vs. Martinique
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Suriname vs. Martinique?

Volume:
$1,539,887

Suriname

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 29, 2026

Closed: Sep 28, 7:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Suriname

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$851,488
N/A
N/A
$405,065
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Suriname

100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$125,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Martinique

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$270,184
N/A
N/A
$157,802
Settled
No
polymarket

Martinique

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$259,485
N/A
N/A
$107,113
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Suriname vs. Martinique)

0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,644
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Suriname and Martinique in the Concacaf Nations League on September 28, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Suriname winning is 98.5%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official Concacaf statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 28, 2026, to see if Suriname can secure the win as currently predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: official match result within 90 minutes + stoppage time, with a defined fallback procedure for data unavailability and cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official Concacaf statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • A win for either team or a draw will determine the resolution of the respective markets.
  • If the game is canceled without a reschedule, 'Suriname win' and 'Martinique win' resolve to 'No', and 'Draw' resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If official statistics are not available within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used. If Flashscore data is unavailable, Sofascore data will be used. If neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting will be used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Postponement: If the game is postponed, the markets will remain open until the game is completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official match statistics are available, or within 24 hours of the match's scheduled conclusion if official data is delayed, utilizing the defined fallback procedures.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Suriname and Martinique.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Suriname vs Martinique professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Suriname resolves the 'Suriname' market to Yes; a win for Martinique resolves the 'Martinique' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Suriname vs. Martinique match. Currently, the aggregated volume for this market is $1,539,887, with $1,481,871 traded in the last 24 hours. The consensus view across both platforms suggests a high probability of a draw, with Polymarket showing a chance of 96%. This allows users to see how predictions are evolving and compare market sentiment with traditional odds-making. The dashboard provides a comprehensive view of the collective forecast for this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs, and the odds can change rapidly based on new information and trading volume, potentially offering more dynamic pricing than traditional options.

Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can influence their predictions. Additionally, the liquidity and depth of the market can vary between the two venues, leading to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a draw at 96%, while Kalshi leans toward Suriname winning. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources when evaluating potential outcomes.