TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 7:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Suriname and Martinique in the Concacaf Nations League on September 28, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Suriname winning is 98.5%, aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official Concacaf statistics, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or a consensus of credible reporting. Keep an eye on the match itself on September 28, 2026, to see if Suriname can secure the win as currently predicted.
This event is for the upcoming Concacaf Nations League game, scheduled for Monday, September 28, 2026 between Suriname and Martinique.
The event resolves based on the result of the Suriname vs Martinique professional Concacaf Nations League soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Suriname resolves the 'Suriname' market to Yes; a win for Martinique resolves the 'Martinique' market to Yes; and a tie resolves the 'Tie' market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the result after regular time and stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. Furthermore, prediction markets typically have lower transaction costs, and the odds can change rapidly based on new information and trading volume, potentially offering more dynamic pricing than traditional options.
Prices for this market may differ between Polymarket and Kalshi due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information, which can influence their predictions. Additionally, the liquidity and depth of the market can vary between the two venues, leading to price discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors a draw at 96%, while Kalshi leans toward Suriname winning. These differences highlight the importance of considering multiple sources when evaluating potential outcomes.