TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 14, 9:27 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the winner of the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro, a professional surfing competition held in El Salvador. The event resolves to Yes if any one of a select group of elite professional surfers claims victory at the tournament. The market essentially bets on whether the competition winner will be from this predetermined list of top-ranked competitors.
If Ítalo Ferreira wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Crosby Colapinto wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kauli Vaast wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If João Chianca wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gabriel Medina wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Robinson wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Barron Mamiya wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alan Cleland wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Samuel Pupo wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Leonardo Fioravanti wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marco Mignot wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Callum Robson wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kanoa Igarashi wins the 2026 Surf City El Salvador Pro surfing competition, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders actively betting on the Surf City El Salvador Pro Winner outcome. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on expert opinion and historical data, prediction markets aggregate distributed knowledge from many participants with financial incentives to be accurate. Market odds often incorporate breaking news, recent performance, and conditions faster than published analyst predictions, making them a dynamic alternative benchmark for comparing expected probabilities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Surf City El Salvador Pro Winner contracts on Kalshi are priced between 0 and 100 based on the implied probability of each outcome. Traders buy and sell shares reflecting their belief in which surfer will win the competition. The market price directly represents the collective forecast; higher prices indicate stronger confidence in that outcome. Kalshi's order-matching system ensures transparent price discovery as traders continuously update their positions leading up to the Jun 16, 2026 resolution date.
The Surf City El Salvador Pro Winner market resolves on Jun 16, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official results of the Surf City El Salvador Pro competition. The market will settle based on which surfer is declared the winner by the event organizers and sanctioning body. Traders should monitor official competition announcements and results as the event date approaches to understand how the outcome will be finalized.
Several factors could shift odds for Surf City El Salvador Pro Winner before Jun 16, 2026. Key catalysts include recent competition results and rankings of top contenders, weather forecasts affecting wave conditions in El Salvador, athlete injuries or withdrawals, training updates from competitor camps, and changes in betting volume as the event approaches. Media coverage highlighting particular surfers' form, sponsorship announcements, and head-to-head matchup previews may also influence trader sentiment and market prices.