TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 4:23 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college baseball teams compete in a Super Regional matchup during the 2026 NCAA tournament. One of these teams will advance to the College World Series by winning the series.
On Kalshi, this Super Regional matchup is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each team's probability of winning and advancing. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The contract price directly reflects the market's consensus odds, with shares trading between $0 and $1.00 based on real-time supply and demand. As new information emerges—injury reports, recent performance, or lineup changes—traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. Kalshi's transparent order book shows all pending bids and asks, allowing you to see exactly where the market stands on Georgia versus Mississippi State at any moment.
The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026, after the Super Regional game concludes. Resolution is determined by which team wins the matchup and advances to the College World Series. The outcome is final once the game ends and the official result is confirmed. Until that moment, the contract remains open for trading, and prices may shift based on live game developments, momentum, and real-time trader sentiment. After resolution, all shares are settled according to the final outcome.
Several catalysts could shift the market price before Jun 9, 2026. Key player injuries or roster changes for either Georgia or Mississippi State would immediately impact odds, as would recent tournament performance and momentum heading into the Super Regional. Weather conditions, home-field advantage factors, and coaching decisions announced before game time all influence trader positioning. Breaking news about team morale, travel issues, or unexpected lineup adjustments can trigger sharp repricing. Additionally, expert commentary, updated power rankings, and social media sentiment may sway retail traders, creating volatility in the contract price as the game approaches.