TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Sunderland
all
3 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
Predict
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 16, 2026
Closed: Sep 16, 5:03 PM EST
Kalshi
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Sunderland and AZ Alkmaar have 3 or more total goals?
Intro
This market tracks the outcome of the September 16, 2026 UEFA Europa League match between Sunderland AFC and AZ Alkmaar, specifically whether Sunderland AFC will win. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi, Limitless, Polymarket, and Predict gives Sunderland AFC a 99.0% probability of winning, with AZ Alkmaar at 1.0%. Resolution will be based on official match statistics, with potential fallback sources including Flashscore and Sofascore, as defined by the event organizers. Keep an eye on the match itself, scheduled for September 16, 2026, as the result will determine the outcome of this market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Polymarket and Predict only resolve 'Yes' for a win, while Kalshi includes a 'Tie' outcome. Cancellation handling also differs.Hero tip: Consider the cancellation risk when trading on Polymarket/Predict, as they resolve to 'No' if the game is canceled. Kalshi's behavior is less clear.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves 'Yes' if Sunderland wins, 'No' otherwise. Cancellation resolves to 'No'. Refers only to the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
- Predict: Resolves 'Yes' if Sunderland wins, 'No' otherwise. Cancellation resolves to 'No'. Refers only to the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus.
- Kalshi: Resolves 'Yes' if Sunderland, AZ, or a Tie wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Cancellation policy is not explicitly defined.
Polymarket
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Sunderland AFC and AZ.
Kalshi
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Sunderland vs Alkmaar Europa League match scheduled for September 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for Sunderland or Alkmaar markets occurs only if that team secures a win within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game concludes with an equal score at the end of regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price following Kalshi’s procedures. No affiliation or endorsement by the governing league is implied, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Predict
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between Sunderland AFC and AZ.
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of goals scored by Sunderland and AZ Alkmaar is 3 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the UEFA Europa League match scheduled for September 16, 2026, 19:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "50-50." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Frequently asked questions
Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Different participants may interpret available information differently, leading to varying probabilities. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform impacts price discovery; higher volume generally leads to more efficient pricing. The specific design of each platform’s market – for example, whether it allows for continuous trading or operates with discrete rounds – can also contribute to price discrepancies. These differences create opportunities for arbitrage among informed traders.