TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 3, 5:59 AM EST
Kalshi
A professional esports match featuring two teams competing in a European qualifier tournament for a competitive first-person shooter game. The match is scheduled to take place in early July 2026 and will determine which team advances further in the qualification process.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier 2026: Subtop De France vs. Honvéd CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs in real time. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting venues, particularly as new developments unfold. Comparing the two can reveal where market participants see value or disagreement about the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds directly. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves as new orders flow in. Traders can place limit or market orders to express their view on the total number of maps. Liquidity and spread depend on how many participants are actively trading at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 3, 2026, once the Subtop De France vs. Honvéd match concludes and the final map count is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources covering the event. Traders holding positions will see their holdings settled based on the actual number of maps played. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the match ends and the result is officially reported.
Team roster changes, recent form, head-to-head records, and player injuries can all shift market sentiment before the match. Announcements about map selection or bans may trigger significant price movement, as these directly influence the total map count. Public statements from coaches or analysts can sway trader conviction. As the event date approaches, any breaking news about team preparation or competitive status will likely drive trading activity and repricing on this market.