TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 8:35 AM EST
Kalshi
Subtop De France and ex-MANA eSports compete in Map 1 of their CS2 match during the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier on June 28, 2026. The outcome depends on which team wins this individual map within the larger match.
If Subtop De France wins map 1 in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier 2026: Subtop De France vs. ex-MANA eSports CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 28, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If ex-MANA eSports wins map 1 in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier 2026: Subtop De France vs. ex-MANA eSports CS2 match originally scheduled for Jun 28, 2026 at 6:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate the collective beliefs of traders betting their own capital. This market may offer distinct pricing compared to traditional sports betting venues, particularly if esports coverage differs across platforms or if informed traders have identified mispricings in the broader market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the most recent trades and pending orders, updating dynamically as new information emerges or traders adjust their positions. Prices range from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability that ex-MANA eSports will secure victory on Map 1.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome hinges on whether ex-MANA eSports wins Map 1 of the scheduled contest. Resolution occurs after the map is officially completed and the winner is confirmed through match records or official tournament reporting.
Key catalysts include roster changes, recent team performance data, and head-to-head map history between Subtop De France and ex-MANA eSports. Injury announcements, player substitutions, or public statements about preparation can shift trader sentiment significantly. Additionally, any updates on map selection, patch changes affecting gameplay, or betting activity from informed participants may trigger price movement as the event date approaches.