TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 5:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between SU Vortuna Bad Leonfelden and SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SU Vortuna Bad Leonfelden" if SU Vortuna Bad Leonfelden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz" if SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between SU Vortuna Bad Leonfelden and SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SU Vortuna Bad Leonfelden" if SU Vortuna Bad Leonfelden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz" if SC Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader positioning rather than a fixed bookmaker margin. On Polymarket, prices adjust continuously as new information emerges and traders adjust their positions. Sportsbooks typically hold static spreads and juice, whereas this market allows direct price discovery. Both venues aim to reflect true probability, but prediction markets can sometimes lead sportsbooks in incorporating late-breaking team news, injury updates, or weather changes that affect first-goal likelihood.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability assigned by the market at any given moment. As traders place orders, the price adjusts algorithmically to balance supply and demand. You can enter or exit positions at the displayed price, and your trades directly influence the odds available to the next participant, creating a continuous price-discovery process.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regular play. Once the event is complete and confirmed through credible public reporting, the market settles automatically based on the verified result. Early resolution may occur if one team is eliminated or the match is officially abandoned before any goal is scored.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements, injury reports affecting key attacking players, and weather conditions on match day. Tactical shifts or recent form trends can also shift trader sentiment significantly. Pre-match press conferences or official statements about playing style may influence expectations around early scoring patterns. Additionally, any changes to venue conditions or referee assignments could impact how traders assess the likelihood of an early goal, causing price swings in the hours before kickoff.