TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 1:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the total number of sets that will be played in the professional tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Taylor Fritz at the 2026 ATP Stuttgart Open. Across Kalshi and Polymarket, the consensus probability for the Over/Under 2.5 sets outcome stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official ATP Tour scoring records. Watch for the match completion on June 10, 2026, as the actual event date, with final settlement occurring by June 17, 2026.
This market refers to the tennis match between Martin Landaluce and Taylor Fritz in the Stuttgart Open, originally scheduled for June 10, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Martin Landaluce' if Martin Landaluce advances against Taylor Fritz. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Martin Landaluce. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution requires that a ball be played in the match. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket and Kalshi reflect real-time consensus from traders betting with their own capital, often diverging from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from participants who profit by predicting accurately. For the Landaluce vs Fritz match, comparing prediction market implied probabilities to sportsbook spreads can reveal where sharp traders see value. Prediction markets typically update faster and may price in late-breaking player news or injury updates before sportsbooks adjust.
Key catalysts include recent head-to-head records, surface performance history on clay courts, player rankings and recent tournament results, and any injury or fitness updates announced before the match. Pre-match commentary from analysts and betting syndicates can shift market sentiment. On-court momentum during the match itself—set wins, break points, and serve performance—will drive intra-match repricing. Weather conditions at Stuttgart, player fatigue from earlier rounds, and late lineup confirmations may also influence odds. Monitor official ATP communications and player social media for withdrawal or health announcements.