TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Chiseled Adonis
- Kalshi
Chiseled Adonis - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 13, 2026
Time left: 11d:02h:09m
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The Hidden Gem Award identifies breakout talent or underappreciated creators whose unique contributions are beginning to gain significant recognition, showcasing fresh perspectives and innovative content that enriches the streaming community.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified streamer wins the Hidden Gem Award category at the 2026 Streamer Awards. Each market corresponds to a different potential winner, including SmallFryz, cnotbusch, luci_suckz, Awkventurer, Chiseled Adonis, or a Tie. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, has no official affiliation with the Streamer Awards, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners. The outcome is determined solely by the official results of the award ceremony.
Currently, there isn’t a strong consensus among analysts regarding the likely winner of the Hidden Gem Award. Many outlets are highlighting several potential candidates, making direct comparisons challenging. This market allows you to see what a diverse group of traders collectively believe, offering a different perspective than individual analyst opinions. While analysts often provide qualitative assessments, this market provides a quantitative measure of probability based on real money being wagered. It's a way to gauge the 'wisdom of the crowd' versus expert predictions for this award.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes, and the prices of those contracts reflect the market’s implied probabilities. As more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome occurring rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order book are visible on the platform, allowing traders to assess the available liquidity and potential price movements. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Nov 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Hidden Gem Award at the 2026 Streamer Awards is announced and verifiable from credible public reporting. The official announcement from the Streamer Awards ceremony will serve as the basis for determining the winning outcome. Any disputes regarding the winner will be resolved by referencing the official results published by the Streamer Awards organization. Traders should monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to ensure they understand the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market. Major announcements from potential Hidden Gem nominees, such as significant content releases or partnerships, could shift trader sentiment. Positive or negative media coverage surrounding streamers could also impact their perceived chances of winning. Unexpected controversies or scandals involving nominees could dramatically alter the market. Finally, any shifts in the overall popularity of streamers, as measured by viewership numbers or social media engagement, could also move this market as traders adjust their predictions leading up to Nov 14, 2026.