TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Strasbourg Alsace and Monaco, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals separate the winning team from the losing team at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Strasbourg Alsace vs Monaco Ligue 1 soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each corresponding to a specific margin of victory: Strasbourg Alsace winning by more than 2.5 goals, Strasbourg Alsace winning by more than 1.5 goals, Monaco winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Monaco winning by more than 2.5 goals. All resolutions are based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks referenced belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own predictions, potentially leading to odds that diverge from sportsbook lines if a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s assessment is inaccurate. These differences can arise from varying information sources and differing interpretations of team strengths and potential game outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread of the Strasbourg vs Monaco match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their forecasts align with the actual result. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Strasbourg vs Monaco match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the incorrect spread will not. The exact payout amount will depend on the price of the contract at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions during the match could also play a role, as could any controversies or officiating decisions that arise during the game. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could cause rapid price movements, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception.