TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various point totals.
All markets resolve based on whether the total points scored by both teams in the Stony Brook vs Ball St. college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 36.5 to 78.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final score. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment regardless of the specific threshold being wagered on.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or breaking news. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, as traders have 'skin in the game' and are incentivized to make accurate predictions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the total points scored in the Stony Brook vs Ball St. game. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the total points being *below* that value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a specific point total, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Stony Brook vs Ball St. game, as officially recorded by the relevant sporting authority, will determine the outcome. Contracts will pay out $1 per share for those predicting the total points will be below the contract value, and $0 for those predicting the total points will be above it. Traders should monitor official sources for confirmation of the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or key player availability would likely cause significant price movement. Additionally, public perception and betting trends in sportsbooks can also indirectly impact trading activity on Kalshi. A significant shift in public opinion, even without concrete news, could lead to changes in the price of contracts predicting the total points scored.