TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:26 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Stoke and Sheffield United, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent within the regulation time of the match.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Stoke vs Sheffield United EFL Championship match scheduled for September 19, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are possible, each defined by the winning team's margin of victory over their opponent after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A resolution to 'Yes' occurs if Stoke wins by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, or if Sheffield United wins by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals. The match must conclude within regulation time for these conditions to apply. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant news or events impact perceptions of the game. Comparing the odds can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, but it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities as perceived by different groups.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the final spread of the Stoke vs Sheffield United match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, meaning that if more people believe the spread will be higher, the price will increase, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the Stoke vs Sheffield United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the relevant sporting authority. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their predictions aligned with the actual spread. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand any potential factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Stoke or Sheffield United would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on the day of the match could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news about team morale or internal conflicts could also influence the price. Monitoring sports news and analysis related to both teams is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.