This event group covers the professional EFL Championship soccer match between Stoke City FC and Watford FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi track the three mutually exclusive outcomes: a Stoke City win, a Watford FC win, or a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi apply identical resolution logic: outcomes determined by the official 90-minute match result, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
EFL official match records and statistics (https://www.efl.com/)
Core resolution logic:
Match result is determined by the official score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Stoke City win (Yes/No), Watford FC win (Yes/No), Draw (Yes/No)
If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If match is canceled with no makeup game, Stoke and Watford win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Stoke win and Watford win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes
Scope Limitation: Resolution covers only the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time; extra time and penalties are not included
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately following the conclusion of the match on March 14, 2026, or on the rescheduled date if postponed
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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