TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC
polymarket
kalshi

Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC

Volume:
$325,425

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 10:30 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$53,725
N/A
N/A
$29,910
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leicester

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$101,580
N/A
N/A
$39,848
Settled
No
kalshi

Stoke

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$56,682
N/A
N/A
$27,161
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Stoke City FC vs. Leicester City FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$17,879
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Leicester City FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48,284
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Stoke City FC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$47,276
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Stoke City FC and Leicester City FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Stoke City win, Leicester City win, or a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market includes an automatic YES resolution on game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi's draw market only resolves YES on an actual tied match result. This creates a settlement mismatch in the cancellation edge case.Hero tip: If you believe cancellation risk is material, Polymarket's draw market offers implicit cancellation insurance (YES on cancel). Kalshi's draw market does not. Choose your platform based on whether you want cancellation protection embedded in the draw contract.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Stoke win (YES if Stoke wins, NO otherwise), Leicester win (YES if Leicester wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Crucially, the draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. All outcomes measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponements keep markets open until completion.
  • Kalshi: Three categorical outcomes bundled into a single event: Tie (YES if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time), Stoke (YES if Stoke wins), and Leicester (YES if Leicester wins). No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard interpretation is that only actual match outcomes trigger YES. All outcomes measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.