TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a professional EFL Championship soccer match between Stoke City FC and Leicester City FC scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Stoke City win, Leicester City win, or a draw, all measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market includes an automatic YES resolution on game cancellation with no make-up, while Kalshi's draw market only resolves YES on an actual tied match result. This creates a settlement mismatch in the cancellation edge case.Hero Tip:
If you believe cancellation risk is material, Polymarket's draw market offers implicit cancellation insurance (YES on cancel). Kalshi's draw market does not. Choose your platform based on whether you want cancellation protection embedded in the draw contract.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets: Stoke win (YES if Stoke wins, NO otherwise), Leicester win (YES if Leicester wins, NO otherwise), and Draw (YES if draw, NO otherwise). Crucially, the draw market resolves YES if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. All outcomes measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Postponements keep markets open until completion.Kalshi:
Three categorical outcomes bundled into a single event: Tie (YES if match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time), Stoke (YES if Stoke wins), and Leicester (YES if Leicester wins). No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard interpretation is that only actual match outcomes trigger YES. All outcomes measured at 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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