TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 12:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Stockport and Leicester, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The contest reflects competitive balance and performance in a league fixture.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the Stockport versus Leicester professional EFL League One soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by the goal differential after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct criteria define a 'Yes' resolution: Stockport winning by more than 2.5 goals, Stockport winning by more than 1.5 goals, Leicester winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Leicester winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any outcome not meeting these thresholds resolves to 'No'. The markets operate independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds closer to what they perceive as the true probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and the implied probability of that outcome rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price movements. This creates a real-time assessment of the likelihood of different results in the Stockport vs Leicester match.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Stockport vs Leicester match, as reported by a trusted source for sports results. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. It's important to note that the exact timing of resolution may depend on the speed at which official results are released and verified.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, as could any controversies or off-field events impacting team morale. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also drive trading volume and price changes. Major upsets in other related matches could also indirectly influence this market.