Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Stockport win, draw, or Peterborough win), making it logically unresolvable and fundamentally broken. Polymarket markets are mutually exclusive and properly structured.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It contains a logical contradiction: all three outcome conditions resolve to YES, meaning there is no NO resolution path. This violates basic market logic. Polymarket's three separate binary markets (draw, Peterborough win, Stockport win) are the only tradeable and resolvable instruments in this group.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution logic: (1) Draw market resolves YES only if match ends in a draw, NO otherwise; (2) Peterborough market resolves YES only if Peterborough wins, NO otherwise; (3) Stockport market resolves YES only if Stockport wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES. Quote: 'This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.'
Kalshi: Single market with three outcome conditions, all resolving to YES: 'If Stockport wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Peterborough wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' No NO resolution condition is defined. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match outcome triggers a YES resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.