TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional Conference League soccer match between Stjarnan and Vikingur scheduled for July 9, 2026. The result is determined by the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
Resolution is based on the final result of the professional Conference League soccer game between Stjarnan and Vikingur originally scheduled for July 9, 2026, evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time or penalties). A win for either team resolves the corresponding market to Yes, while a tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader conviction and real-money risk. Traders here are motivated purely by accuracy, not by managing liability across multiple bets. This can lead to sharper, less biased pricing in prediction markets, especially as new information emerges. Comparing this market's implied probability to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the two disagree most significantly.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that outcome's likelihood, ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new information surfaces or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread tightens or widens accordingly. You can enter limit or market orders to trade at your preferred price, and the market's depth shows how much liquidity exists at each price level, helping you gauge execution costs.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match has concluded and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will reflect the final score and official match result as confirmed by relevant sports authorities and news sources. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as odds fluctuate. Resolution is automatic once the event is complete and the data is confirmed, at which point all shares are settled according to the actual outcome.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries, lineup changes, or roster updates that affect either side's competitive strength. Recent form and head-to-head records may shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and any last-minute tactical announcements can also influence odds. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting action on traditional sportsbooks often precede moves in this market. As kickoff nears, late-breaking developments—such as unexpected absences or changes in team strategy—typically trigger sharp repricing as traders react to new information.