TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 3:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Stjarnan Gardabae and IBV Vestmannaeyjar, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Stjarnan Gardabae" if Stjarnan Gardabae are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IBV Vestmannaeyjar" if IBV Vestmannaeyjar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Stjarnan Gardabae and IBV Vestmannaeyjar, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Stjarnan Gardabae" if Stjarnan Gardabae are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "IBV Vestmannaeyjar" if IBV Vestmannaeyjar are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by betting on both venues. However, it’s important to remember that prediction markets are forward-looking and can incorporate information not yet reflected in sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in whether a specific team will be the first to score. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, the price of those shares increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand, and the current price of a share indicates the market's collective assessment of that outcome's likelihood. This dynamic pricing allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Stjarnan Gardabae or IBV Vestmannaeyjar, is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the match. The official match report will serve as the determining factor. Any disputes will be handled according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift perceptions of each team's chances. Unexpected lineup announcements just before the match are also likely to cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, general sentiment shifts based on recent team performance or broader league standings can impact trading volume and the implied probabilities within this market. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.